Civil Engineering, Traffic Engineering |
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Seismic vulnerability of urban double-layer interdependent lifeline network |
Xu-dong ZHAO( ),Zhi-long CHEN*( ),Ji-heng XU,Hai-zhou TANG |
State Key Laboratory of Explosion and Impact and Disaster Prevention and Mitigation, Army Engineering University, Nanjing 210007, China |
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Abstract Probabilistic vulnerability simulation model of network performance and joint probability method of seismic failure and cascading failure of interdependent units were established focusing on the double-layer interdependent lifeline networks. Then a research framework was proposed to analyze the seismic vulnerability of double-layer interdependent lifeline networks. Then probabilistic vulnerability analysis of the performance of urban double-layer interdependent lifeline networks was conducted. A simulation procedure was constructed according to the framework to obtain the probabilistic vulnerability curves of double-layer interdependent lifeline networks under scenario earthquake in the case study of interdependent power-gas supply networks in a city of east China. Results show that power supply network is more likely to suffer medium performance loss under scenario earthquake, while gas supply network is more likely to suffer severe performance loss. The probability of severe performance loss of gas supply network apparently increases with the interdependence intension. The power supply network and gas supply network both have weaknesses in unit seismic fortification and network structure. These shortages are the main reasons of performance loss and should be well settled in the future municipal planning.
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Received: 25 March 2019
Published: 05 April 2020
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Corresponding Authors:
Zhi-long CHEN
E-mail: wxlmss@163.com;chen-zl@vip.163.com
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地震灾害下城市双层关联生命线网络易损性
以双层关联生命线网络为对象,建立生命线网络性能概率易损性仿真模型和关联单元震害和级联失效联合概率方法,形成地震灾害下双层关联生命线网络易损性研究框架,开展地震灾害下城市双层关联生命线网络性能的概率易损性分析. 在以华东某市电力和燃气关联网络为例的案例研究中,依据研究框架构建仿真流程,得到场景地震下双层关联生命线网络性能的概率易损性曲线. 结果显示,场景地震下,案例电力网络发生中度性能损失的概率较大,燃气网络发生重度性能损失的概率较大,燃气网络性能重度损失的概率随着关联强度的增强而明显增大. 电力网络和燃气网络均在单元抗震和网络布局上存在薄弱点,是2个网络发生性能损失的重要原因,应在后续规划中改进.
关键词:
地震,
生命线,
易损性,
关联,
级联失效
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