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浙江大学学报(工学版)
土木工程与水利工程     
考虑脆弱性的复杂绿色建筑项目风险路径
秦旋,卓光杰,莫懿懿
华侨大学 土木工程学院,福建 厦门 361021
Vulnerability of risk paths of complex green building projects
QIN Xuan,ZHUO Guang jie,MO Yi yi
College of Civil Engineering,National Huaqiao University,Xiamen 361021,China
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摘要:

为了解决脆弱性由于具有隐蔽性在传统工程项目风险研究中未得到足够重视的问题,以复杂绿色建筑项目为研究对象,界定和识别绿色建筑项目的脆弱性和风险因素,探究脆弱性与风险因素之间的影响关系.基于203份有效问卷用结构方程模型分析20个潜变量,共有51条脆弱性-风险影响路径被辨识和确认,进一步计算每条风险路径对项目目标影响的总效应值.结果表明:风险路径结构模型明确显示存在的风险路径,有效揭示了脆弱性与风险之间的影响关系.研究重点关注了相互作用的整个风险网络,有助于项目管理者在项目全寿命周期内追踪和管理这些相互依赖的因素.

Abstract:

Vulnerability has often been under-researched in the risk studies of traditional engineering projects due to its concealment. The vulnerability and risk factors of complex green building projects was defined and identified, were  and  the causal relationships between the vulnerability and risk factors were  explored 20 latent factors were analyzed by using structural equation modeling (SEM) based on 203 questionnaires. 51 vulnerability-risk paths were identified and the total impacts of each risk path on project objectives were analyzed. Results reveal the existence of risk paths and the causal relationships between the vulnerability and risk factors in the risk path structual model. The interaction of the entire risk network was focused on which  provided project managers with a reference to track and manage the risk factors in the project life cycle.

出版日期: 2016-11-01
:  C 9313  
基金资助:

 国家自然科学基金资助项目(51148010);福建省自然科学基金资助项目(2013J01195).

作者简介: 秦旋(1969-),女,教授,从事绿色建筑项目风险等研究. ORCID:0000-0001-6416-0837. E-mail:hdwq@hqu.edu.cn
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秦旋,卓光杰,莫懿懿. 考虑脆弱性的复杂绿色建筑项目风险路径[J]. 浙江大学学报(工学版), 10.3785/j.issn.1008-973X.2016.11.020.

QIN Xuan,ZHUO Guang jie,MO Yi yi. Vulnerability of risk paths of complex green building projects. JOURNAL OF ZHEJIANG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 10.3785/j.issn.1008-973X.2016.11.020.

链接本文:

http://www.zjujournals.com/eng/CN/10.3785/j.issn.1008-973X.2016.11.020        http://www.zjujournals.com/eng/CN/Y2016/V50/I11/2177

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