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Journal of Zhejiang University (Science Edition)  2024, Vol. 51 Issue (2): 220-233    DOI: 10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2024.02.011
Earth Science     
Research on the influence of informatization level on tourism total factor productivity in China
Wenyi XU(),Bingbing WANG,Pingbin JIN()
School of Earth Sciences,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058,China
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Abstract  

Tourism total factor productivity, as an important indicator to measure the high-quality development of tourism, has become a research hotspot. Although there have been a large amount of researches on indicators that affect tourism total factor productivity, the impact mechanism and effect of informatization on tourism total factor productivity have not yet been clarified. Based on a systematic analysis of the impact mechanism of informatization on tourism total factor productivity and its decomposition factors: tourism technical progress and tourism technical efficiency, this paper constructs a measurement system of informatization development level integrating multi-source data, and analyzes the dynamic evolution process of tourism total factor productivity and its decomposition factors in 30 provinces of China from 2010 to 2019 using the DEA-Malmquist index. The threshold panel model is used for the study. The results show that: (1) During the research period, China's informatization level has been increasing year by year, and the gap between provinces has been narrowing, with the spatial characteristics of hot spots in the east and cold spots in the west. (2) Tourism total factor productivity showed a continuous upward trend, with significant contributions from tourism technical progress, but tourism technical efficiency declined. (3) Informatization has a significant nonlinear promoting effect on tourism total factor productivity. Informatization has a positive impact on tourism total factor productivity through positive promotion of tourism technical progress, and has a threshold effect on tourism total factor productivity through nonlinear inhibition of tourism technical efficiency.



Key wordsinformatization      total factor productivity of tourism      DEA-Malmquist      threshold effect     
Received: 04 January 2023      Published: 08 March 2024
CLC:  F 592  
Corresponding Authors: Pingbin JIN     E-mail: 22038021@zju.edu.cn;chshs@zju.edu.cn
Cite this article:

Wenyi XU,Bingbing WANG,Pingbin JIN. Research on the influence of informatization level on tourism total factor productivity in China. Journal of Zhejiang University (Science Edition), 2024, 51(2): 220-233.

URL:

https://www.zjujournals.com/sci/EN/Y2024/V51/I2/220


信息化对旅游全要素生产率的影响研究

信息时代,信息化对旅游产业高质量发展的影响备受关注。通过构建融合多源数据的信息化发展水平测度体系,借助DEA-Malmquist指数,分析了2010—2019年中国30个省级行政区旅游全要素生产率及其分解因素的动态演变过程,并利用门槛面板模型研究了信息化对旅游全要素生产率及其分解因素的影响。结果表明:(1)研究期内中国信息化水平逐年上升、省际差距不断缩小,在空间上呈东部为发展热点区西部为发展冷点区的特征。(2)旅游全要素生产率呈持续上升趋势,其中旅游技术进步贡献显著,旅游技术效率有所下降。(3)信息化对旅游全要素生产率有显著的非线性促进作用,其通过正向促进旅游技术进步对旅游全要素生产率产生积极影响,并通过非线性抑制旅游技术效率对旅游全要素生产率产生门槛效应。


关键词: 信息化,  旅游全要素生产率,  DEA-Malmquist,  门槛效应 
指标维度指标名称表征数据
基础设施光缆密度地区光缆总长度/区域面积
宽带端口密度固定互联网宽带接入端口数/人口数量
应用程度手机普及率移动电话用户占比
计算机普及率每百户计算机拥有量
网络普及率互联网用户占比
产业规模经济规模信息业业务收入/就业人数
劳动力规模每万人信息业就业人数
发展支撑研发费率信息业研发经费占比
研发能力产业研发人员占比
研发环境每百万人专利授权量
政府支持政府工作报告中信息化等相关词语提及次数
Table 1 Measuring indicators of informatization
指标类型指标名称表征数据
投入资源禀赋世界遗产、4A级及以上景区、国家级文物保护单位和国家级非物质文化遗产
劳动力星级饭店、旅行社以及A级景区固定从业人数
资本星级饭店与旅行社数量
产出旅游人次旅游总人次
旅游收入旅游总收入
Table 2 Input and output indicators of tourism
指标名称指标说明表征数据
地区发展程度(RE)反映地区经济水平人均地区生产总值
产业结构(IN)反映地区服务业发展水平和经济地位三产增加值占地区生产总值的比重
安全治理(SG)反映和谐稳定的社会环境政府安全支出占总财政支出的比重
对外开放程度(OP)反映地区与境外的来往交流密切程度进出口总额占地区生产总值的比重
人才资源(HR)反映当地对人才的吸引力每万人高等教育在校生比例
政策支持(PO)反映地方政府对旅游产业的重视程度省级政府工作报告提及“旅游”相关词汇次数
Table 3 Control variables of threshold regression
Fig.1 Informatization level and coefficient of variation of China from 2010 to 2019
Fig.2 Provincial informatization level of China in 2010, 2015 and 2019
Fig.3 Provincial informatization hot spots and cold spots of in China in 2010, 2015 and 2019
年份TFPchEFFchTECHch
均值1.1280.9761.156
20111.1910.9221.293
20121.2010.9801.226
20131.0841.0171.066
20141.0070.9971.010
20151.1281.0161.110
20161.1941.0321.157
20171.1480.9051.269
20181.1400.9421.210
20191.0720.9791.095
Table 4 Total factor productivity of tourism and its decomposition of China from 2010 to 2019
年份Malmquist指数
东部中部西部全国
均值1.0911.1561.1711.128
20111.1281.2911.2041.191
20121.1361.2791.2181.201
20131.0081.1621.1181.084
20141.0310.9651.0461.007
20151.0851.1771.1521.128
20161.1321.1281.3391.194
20171.1381.2231.1271.148
20181.1311.1141.1931.140
20191.0331.0611.1431.072
Table 5 Tourism's Malmquist index for three regions from 2010 to 2019
Fig.4 Provincial total factor productivity of tourism in 2011, 2015 and 2019
解释变量门槛变量门槛模型F门槛值临界值
10%5%1%
TFPINF单门槛36.94***0.072 322.968 326.733 335.237 0
双门槛7.490.094 118.425 322.604 328.067 8
TECH单门槛12.880.090 118.454 124.564 531.746 6
EFF单门槛23.49*0.072 323.432 229.607 237.112 1
双门槛8.350.167 518.896 324.117 737.828 2
Table 6 Threshold effect test
变量TFP(模型1)

TECH

(模型2)

EFF(模型3)
INF≤0.072 3INF>0.072 3INF≤0.072 3INF>0.072 3
INF0.285 2**0.310 8***0.536 8***-0.209 3**-0.189 0**
RE0.101 30.362 9***-0.280 6
IN0.322 70.506 8***-0.099 7
SG0.273 70.249 6**-0.023 3
OP-0.097 30.020 5-0.117 7
HR0.715 9***0.493 6***0.319 9
PO0.022 4***0.005 70.019 4***
Table 7 Regression results
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