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浙江大学学报（理学版）
浙江大学学报（理学版）  2019, Vol. 46 Issue (1): 121-130    DOI: 10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2019.01.014
地球科学     
陕北能源开发区产业转型升级特征及其经济效应
宋永永1, 薛东前1, 代兰海1, 仲俊涛2, 夏四友3
1.陕西师范大学 地理科学与旅游学院，陕西 西安 710119
2.青海师范大学 地理科学学院，西宁810008
3.南京师范大学 地理科学学院，江苏 南京 210023
Characteristics and economic effects of industrial structure transformation and upgrade in energy exploitation area of northern Shaanxi province
SONG Yongyong1, XUE Dongqian1, DAI Lanhai1, ZHONG Juntao2, XIA Siyou3
1.School of Geography and Tourism, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi'an 710119, China
2.College of Geographical Science, Qinghai Normal University, Xining 810008, China
3.School of Geography Science, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, China
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摘要： 以陕北能源开发区榆林市为研究区，采用1990—2015年的统计调查数据，综合集成产业结构超前系数、More值测定法、Lilien指数和Shift-Share模型，对榆林市产业转型发展态势、产业转型升级方向、速度及其经济效应进行测度分析。 结果发现，1990年以来，榆林市产业结构演进呈现“双拐点”特征，产业结构演进与就业结构变化不协调；第一产业和第三产业发展普遍滞后，以能源重工业为主导的第二产业处于超前发展状态；产业结构转型升级速度较快；国家政策是榆林市产业结构演进的重要动力；产业内部增长效应对经济增长贡献突出，第二产业和第三产业结构变迁效应是未来榆林市经济增长的“结构红利”所在，产业转型升级和结构调整空间大。 本研究可为促进能源开发区产业结构转型升级提供理论参考和决策支持。
关键词： 产业结构;  转型升级;  经济效应;  陕北能源开发区;  榆林市    
Abstract: Taking the Yulin city, an energy exploitation area of northern Shaanxi province as the sample area, and based on the relative statistical data from 1990 to 2015, this paper makes an intensive analysis on the change trend of the three industrial structures, the direction and speed of industrial structure transformation and upgrade as well as its economic effects by using the methods of lead coefficient of industrial structure, More value, Lilien index and Shift-share analysis. The results show that: During the period from 1990 to 2015, the main features of industrial structure evolution exhibited "double inflection point", and the industrial structure was not coordinated with the employment structure. The primary and the tertiary industry were lagged behind, while the secondary industry achieved advanced development. Then a fast industrial structure transformation and upgrade were conducted, due to the effective policies of the national government. The contribution to economic effects was more from the internal growth than from the structure evolution. The secondary and tertiary industry structure effect would play an essential role in the future economic growth, leaving a huge room for the industrial structure transformation and upgrade hence for economic growth. Our research can provide a reference and recommendation for promoting the industrial structure transformation and upgrade in other energy exploitation area.
Key words: industrial structure    transformation and upgrade    economic effects    energy exploitation area of northern Shaanxi province    Yulin city
收稿日期: 2017-09-07 出版日期: 2019-01-25
CLC:  F269.24  
基金资助: 国家科技基础性工作专项（2014FY210100）；国家重点研发计划项目（2018YFD1100101）．
作者简介: 宋永永（1990—），ORCID：http：//orcid.org/0000-0003-1737-1601，男，博士研究生，主要从事城市产业与城市社会、区域地理与可持续发展研究.
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引用本文:

宋永永, 薛东前, 代兰海, 仲俊涛, 夏四友. 陕北能源开发区产业转型升级特征及其经济效应[J]. 浙江大学学报（理学版）, 2019, 46(1): 121-130.

SONG Yongyong, XUE Dongqian, DAI Lanhai, ZHONG Juntao, XIA Siyou. Characteristics and economic effects of industrial structure transformation and upgrade in energy exploitation area of northern Shaanxi province. Journal of ZheJIang University(Science Edition), 2019, 46(1): 121-130.

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https://www.zjujournals.com/sci/CN/10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2019.01.014    或    https://www.zjujournals.com/sci/CN/Y2019/V46/I1/121

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