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Applied Mathematics-A Journal of Chinese Universities  2018, Vol. 33 Issue (1): 25-34    DOI: 10.1007/s11766-018-3522-z
    
Waiting times and stopping probabilities for patterns in Markov chains
ZHAO Min-zhi1, XU Dong1, ZHANG Hui-zeng2
1 School of Mathematical Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, China. Email: zhaomz@zju.edu.cn, xudong 1236@163.com
2 Department of Mathematics, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou 310036, China. Email: zhanghz789@163.com
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Abstract  Suppose that $\mathcal C$ is a finite collection of patterns. Observe a Markov chain until one of the patterns in $\mathcal C$ occurs as a run. This time is denoted by $\tau$. In this paper, we aim to give an easy way to calculate the mean waiting time $E(\tau)$ and the stopping probabilities $P(\tau=\tau_A)$ with $A\in\mathcal C$, where $\tau_A$ is the waiting time until the pattern $A$ appears as a run.

Key wordspattern      Markov chain      stopping probability      waiting time     
Received: 13 January 2017      Published: 28 March 2018
CLC:  60J10  
  60J22  
Corresponding Authors: ZHANG Hui-zeng     E-mail: zhanghz789@163.com
Cite this article:

ZHAO Min-zhi, XU Dong, ZHANG Hui-zeng. Waiting times and stopping probabilities for patterns in Markov chains. Applied Mathematics-A Journal of Chinese Universities, 2018, 33(1): 25-34.

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http://www.zjujournals.com/amjcub/10.1007/s11766-018-3522-z     OR     http://www.zjujournals.com/amjcub/Y2018/V33/I1/25


Waiting times and stopping probabilities for patterns in Markov chains

Suppose that $\mathcal C$ is a finite collection of patterns. Observe a Markov chain until one of the patterns in $\mathcal C$ occurs as a run. This time is denoted by $\tau$. In this paper, we aim to give an easy way to calculate the mean waiting time $E(\tau)$ and the stopping probabilities $P(\tau=\tau_A)$ with $A\in\mathcal C$, where $\tau_A$ is the waiting time until the pattern $A$ appears as a run.

关键词: pattern,  Markov chain,  stopping probability,  waiting time 
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