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浙江大学学报(理学版)  2024, Vol. 51 Issue (1): 120-130    DOI: 10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2024.01.013
建筑学     
基于DEMATEL-ISM的水利工程EPC项目价值增值机理研究
俞洪良1,2,杨正涵1(),徐铨彪2,3,潘益斌4
1.浙江大学 建筑工程学院,浙江 杭州 310058
2.浙江大学 平衡建筑研究中心,浙江 杭州 310028
3.浙江大学建筑设计研究院有限公司,浙江 杭州 310028
4.中国电建集团 华东勘测设计研究院有限公司,浙江 杭州 311122
Research on value-added mechanism of hydraulic engineering with EPC general contracting mode based on DEMATEL-ISM
Honglaing YU1,2,Zhenghan YANG1(),Quanbiao XU2,3,Yibin PAN4
1.College of Civil Engineering and Architecture,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058,China
2.Center for Balance and Architecture,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310028,China
3.The Architectural Design & Research Institude of Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310028,China
4.Power China Huadong Engineering Corporation Limited (HDEC),Hangzhou 311122,China
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摘要:

采用设计-采购-施工(engineering-procurement-construction,EPC)总承包模式的水利工程项目日益增多,研究其价值增值机理有利于总承包方做好项目的价值管理。从水利工程EPC项目的价值链分析入手,基于文献和专家访谈得到23个价值增值影响因素。采用问卷调查方式得到各因素间的影响程度评分,用决策实验和评估实验(decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory,DEMATEL)法计算了各因素的中心度和原因度,结合解释结构模型(interpretative structural modeling,ISM)对数据进行分析,将价值增值因素划分为6类,构建了水利工程EPC项目价值增值的递阶模型,探究和揭示了项目价值增值的路径和机理。研究结果对水利工程EPC总承包方制订管理策略有一定启示作用。

关键词: 水利工程设计-采购-施工(EPC)总承包价值增值决策实验和评估实验-解释结构模型(DEMATEL-SIM)    
Abstract:

Nowadays, the applications of engineering-procurement-construction (EPC) general contracting mode in hydraulic engineering projects are increasing. And it will benefit EPC general contractor in value management by exploring the value-added mechanism. Firstly, this paper studies the value chain of hydraulic engineering, and identifies the value-added factors through literature research and expert interviews. Then the approach of questionnaire is applied to investigate the influence degree among each factor, and their centrality and cause degree are obtained by analysis method of DEMATEL. On the above basis, this paper divides the factors into 6 layers by adopting the analysis method of interpretative structural modeling (ISM), hence builds the value-added path of hydraulic engineering project with EPC general contracting mode. The result will provide the inspiration for EPC enterprises to formulate strategies in value management and further research.

Key words: hydraulic engineering    EPC general contracting    value-added    DEMATEL-ISM
收稿日期: 2022-05-09 出版日期: 2024-01-10
CLC:  TV 512  
基金资助: 浙江大学平衡建筑研究中心项目(K-20212748)
通讯作者: 杨正涵     E-mail: young2608@zju.edu.cn
作者简介: 俞洪良(1966—),ORCID:https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6352-371X,男,硕士,副教授,主要从事工程项目管理、工程经济、建设法规、工程金融研究.
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引用本文:

俞洪良,杨正涵,徐铨彪,潘益斌. 基于DEMATEL-ISM的水利工程EPC项目价值增值机理研究[J]. 浙江大学学报(理学版), 2024, 51(1): 120-130.

Honglaing YU,Zhenghan YANG,Quanbiao XU,Yibin PAN. Research on value-added mechanism of hydraulic engineering with EPC general contracting mode based on DEMATEL-ISM. Journal of Zhejiang University (Science Edition), 2024, 51(1): 120-130.

链接本文:

https://www.zjujournals.com/sci/CN/10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2024.01.013        https://www.zjujournals.com/sci/CN/Y2024/V51/I1/120

图1  研究方案
分类价值链影响因素
介质R1物质R11高效调节与利用资源r1
信息R12提升信息传递效率与质量r2
阶段R2设计阶段R21

设计和采购并行作业r3

深度设计交底和沟通协调r4

施工、采购阶段R22

简化招标、采购流程r5

制订专业性强的技术方案r6

明确设备、材料的需求r7

全生命周期R23

全过程成本管控r8

全生命周期方案优化r9

参建方R3EPC总承包方R31

责任划分明确r10

减少合同纠纷与索赔r11

业主方R32

缩短建设周期r12

合理控制造价r13

提高工程质量r14

降低项目风险r15

BIM技术R4

优化设计施工方案及决策r16

材料、设备信息共享与动态控制r17

智能化运营维护r18

外部环境R5

政策扶持r19

改善现场施工条件与工作环境r20

顺利征地拆迁移民r21

其他来源R6

有效的奖惩机制r22

创新技术及更新设备r23

表1  水利工程EPC项目价值增值影响因素

影响

因素

Cronbach's α系数问卷项数

影响

因素

Cronbach's α系数问卷项数
r10.82513r130.7975
r20.80610r140.7634
r30.8663r150.8087
r40.81210r160.7718
r50.8618r170.87517
r60.84513r180.8603
r70.8437r190.7677
r80.8624r200.7038
r90.8064r210.8123
r100.82611r220.7767
r110.9053r230.7299
r120.7713整体0.960167
表2  问卷数据信度
图2  直接影响矩阵 X
因素DiCiMi (排名)Ri (排名)因素DiCiMi (排名)Ri (排名)
r11.501.042.55(1)0.46(6)r130.600.390.99(14)0.21(9)
r21.320.802.12(2)0.51(5)r140.910.000.91(16)0.91(1)
r30.290.260.55(23)0.03(13)r150.690.641.33(9)0.05(11)
r40.530.861.39(7)-0.33(16)r160.210.670.88(18)-0.46(18)
r50.100.700.80(19)-0.60(21)r170.071.361.43(6)-1.29(23)
r60.431.051.48(5)-0.62(22)r180.310.270.57(21)0.04(12)
r70.980.541.52(3)0.44(8)r190.000.570.57(22)-0.57(20)
r81.070.311.38(8)0.76(2)r200.390.661.05(12)-0.28(15)
r90.990.321.31(10)0.66(3)r210.460.270.73(20)0.19(10)
r100.580.921.50(4)-0.34(17)r220.330.570.90(17)-0.23(14)
r110.700.260.95(15)0.44(7)r230.270.801.07(11)-0.53(19)
r120.780.231.01(13)0.55(4)
表3  指标计算结果
图3  可达矩阵 K
阶层因素可达集合 Ai前项集合 BiAiBi
L1r3r3r3r3
r5r5r1r2r5r9r12r5
r17r17r1r2r4r7r8r9r10r11r12r13r14r15r17r17
r18r18r1r18r18
r19r19r1r2r12r19r19
r23r23r1r2r8r9r12r15r16r20r23r23
L2r4r4r15r1r2r4r6r7r8r9r11r13r14r15r4r15
r15r4r10r15r1r2r4r7r10r15r21r4r10r15
r16r16r1r2r6r10r12r14r16r16
r20r20r1r2r7r8r9r20r20
L3r2r1r2r10r13r1r2r7r8r9r10r13r14r1r2r10r13
r6r6r10r1r2r6r7r8r9r10r11r12r13r14r22r6r10
r10r2r6r10r1r2r6r7r10r13r14r21r2r6r10
L4r11r11r11r11
r13r13r7r8r13r13
r21r21r21r21
r22r22r1r7r12r14r22r22
L5r1r1r7r1r7r8r9r12r14r1r7
r7r1r7r1r7r8r9r14r1r7
L6r8r8r8r8
r9r9r8r9r9
r12r12r12r12
r14r14r14r14
表4  层次结构划分
图4  原因结果图
集合类型因素

原因因素

集合

r14r8r9r12r2r1r11r7r13r21r15r18r3

结果因素

集合

r22r20r4r10r16r23r19r5r6r17
表5  因素集合
图5  水利工程EPC项目价值增值路径
因素类型因素
显著影响因素r1r2r7r10r6
直接影响因素r5r17r19r23r4r16r20
根源影响因素r8r9
表6  因素划分
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