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浙江大学学报(人文社会科学版)  2014, Vol. 44 Issue (2): 130-143    DOI: 10.3785/j.issn.1008-942X.2013.11.191
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基于面板数据的地区工业与生态协调优度分析
朱土兴  朱子云  朱磊
Panel Data Analysis on the Optimization of the Coordination of Regional Industry and Ecology
Zhu Tuxing  Zhu Ziyun  Zhu Lei

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摘要 

工业系统与生态系统协调度所隐含的问题不仅在于数量大小,而且还存在质量高低等问题。引入协调优度指标,从工业系统与生态系统的协调性、工业系统与生态系统的同优性两个维度的有机耦合的意义上构造实证分析方法,并以2003—2011年中国省省份域面板数据为样本的实证分析结果显示:协调发展优度的总体平均水平还不高;中部地区协调发展优度整体上处于领先水平,西部地区次之,东部地区居后,该地区表现为典型的两极分化特征;协调发展优度的总体平均水平在下降;协调发展优度差异程度在扩大;西部地区协调发展优度提升势头明显好于东部地区和中部地区,中部地区又好于东部地区,东部地区则出现了大面积的较大幅度下滑趋势。

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朱土兴 朱子云 朱磊
关键词 工业系统生态系统协调度协调优度面板数据区域发展    
Abstract

The optimization of the coordination of industry and ecology refers to the ideal status in which orderly structure,effective functioning,stable operation and high-quality results are achieved through regulating factor inputs and controlling the processes of mutual acting,coupling and back coupling .It not only reflects the consistence of industrial and ecological systems in the evolving process but also the co-optimization of both systems .The optimization of coordination is characterized by the integrations of form and content,vertical and horizontal directions,stock and increment,quality and quantity,process and result,and the present and future . By introducing the indicators of optimization,a method of empirical analysis is created in the sense of the organic coupling of the co-optimization of the coordination of industrial and ecological systems .In other words,by using to represent the co-optimization between industrialization and ecology,we made an empirical analysis based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2003—2011 by (1) the calculation formula of G = (1-| Esi-Fsi |)×(1-| Eti-Fit | ),which is based on different is,the result of the calculation of the dynamic coordination indicators between the results of the industrial operation system(Esi,here i represents the ordinal numbers of provinces) and the ecological operational system (Fsi,here i represents the ordinal number of provinces)which is calculated in terms of time sequence data,and (2) the calculation of the static coordination indicators between the indicators of industrial functioning (Eit,here i is the annual number of provinces)and those of ecological functioning(Fit,here i refers to the annual number of provinces) calculated in terms of cross sectional data .The result indicates that the average level of development coordination is not high,that the optimization of development coordination in the central region takes the lead,followed by the western region,with the eastern region at the rear,a typical feature of polarization .The result also shows that the average level of development coordination is declining,that the gap of optimization of development coordination is expanding,that the momentum of optimization in the western region is obviously stronger than that in the and central regions of China,which in turn is stronger than the eastern region as the latter is experiencing substantial decline .The root of these problems lies in the serious dis-embeddedness of industrialization and ecological civilization . Except for Tibet whose industrialization is insufficient,the other 30 provinces in China are experiencing dis-embeddedness to some extent . Three reasons are found to account for this dis-embeddedness :first,they fail to adopt pathways to distinctive industrialization according to their own ecological capacities ;second,their fiscal institutions have not formulated appropriate policies ; third,they fail to establish distinctive evaluation frameworks based on their own ecological capacities . Although improving the optimization of coordinated development is the route we must take to achieve long-term,sustainable,effective and risk-free development,it should be supported by a strong guarantee mechanism .Therefore,we suggest applying distinctive strategies to regional industrialization,establishing a powerful dynamic mechanism for endogenous driving forces,constructing a controlling mechanism for operative norms,and providing a distinctive evaluation mechanism for performance .

Key wordsindustrial system    ecosystems    degree of coordination    optimization of coordination    panel data    regional development   
    
引用本文:   
朱土兴 朱子云 朱磊. 基于面板数据的地区工业与生态协调优度分析[J]. 浙江大学学报(人文社会科学版), 2014, 44(2): 130-143. Zhu Tuxing Zhu Ziyun Zhu Lei. Panel Data Analysis on the Optimization of the Coordination of Regional Industry and Ecology. , 2014, 44(2): 130-143.
链接本文:  
https://www.zjujournals.com/soc/CN/10.3785/j.issn.1008-942X.2013.11.191     或     https://www.zjujournals.com/soc/CN/Y2014/V44/I2/130
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