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工程设计学报
工程设计学报  2008, Vol. 15 Issue (3): 157-163    
工程设计理论、方法与技术     
产品技术进化潜力预测研究
 张建辉, 檀润华, 杨伯军, 陈子顺
河北工业大学 创新设计研究所,天津300130
Study on technique of product technology evolutionary
 ZHANG  Jian-Hui, TAN  Run-Hua, YANG  Bo-Jun, CHEN  Zi-Shun
Institute of Creative Design, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300130, China
 全文: PDF(477 KB)   HTML
摘要：  产品技术预测是企业长久保持竞争优势的有效方法,发明问题解决理论（TRIZ）的技术进化理论能够对技术预测提供理论指导．在介绍TRIZ的技术进化模式、技术进化路线的基础上,提出如何搜索产品技术进化潜力及构建进化潜力雷达图的方法,并对产品技术进化潜力预测技术作了系统的总结．基于产品技术进化潜力预测技术开发了专用软件——产品技术进化潜力预测系统（EPMS）,可帮助企业快速、准确地把握产品的技术走向,并应用软件EPMS对蝶阀密封技术的进化潜力进行了预测．
关键词： 发明问题解决理论（TRIZ）;  产品技术进化潜力;  预测技术;  软件EPMS    
Abstract: Product technology forecasting is an effective method to keep enterprises' competitive advantage for a long term. Technology evolution theory in TRIZ can provide theory guidance for technology forecasting. On the basis of introducing technology evolution mode and route in TRIZ, a method of how to search technology evolution potential of product and constructing radar plot of evolution potentials were proposed. And then product technology evolution potential forecasting technology is systematically summarized. Product technology evolution potential mapping system (EPMS), a special software based on product technology evolution potential forecasting technology was developed. This system can assist enterprises to rapidly, accurately grasp the technical trend of product. As an illustration, the evolution potential of seal technology of butterfly valve is mapped by EPMD.
Key words: TRIZ    technology evolution potential of product    technique of mapping    software named EPMS
出版日期: 2008-06-28
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张建辉
檀润华
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陈子顺

引用本文:

张建辉, 檀润华, 杨伯军, 陈子顺. 产品技术进化潜力预测研究[J]. 工程设计学报, 2008, 15(3): 157-163.

ZHANG Jian-Hui, TAN Run-Hua, YANG Bo-Jun, CHEN Zi-Shun. Study on technique of product technology evolutionary[J]. Chinese Journal of Engineering Design, 2008, 15(3): 157-163.

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https://www.zjujournals.com/gcsjxb/CN/    或    https://www.zjujournals.com/gcsjxb/CN/Y2008/V15/I3/157

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[1] 马建红, 檀润华. 基于TRIZ及ABD的创新设计研究[J]. 工程设计学报, 2006, 13(4): 193-198.