基于重组二次分解及LSTNet-Atten的短期负荷预测

刘洪伟,王磊,刘阳,张鹏超,乔石

Short term load forecasting based on recombination quadratic decomposition and LSTNet-Atten

Hongwei LIU,Lei WANG,Yang LIU,Pengchao ZHANG,Shi QIAO

表 10 提出模型与其他分解方法的预测结果对比

Tab.10 Comparison of prediction result of proposed model and other decomposition method

预测模型 R2 MAPE/% MAE/MW RMSE/MW 不分解 0.989 5 1.204 9 371.268 9 456.948 1 EMD分解 0.982 7 1.388 1 440.149 2 586.933 6 EEMD分解 0.990 1 1.187 5 368.648 7 443.853 4 CEEMDAN分解 0.990 2 1.150 3 356.471 4 439.469 8 CEEMDAN+SE分解 0.990 8 1.114 9 347.066 7 426.516 9 本文方法 0.994 1 0.935 2 288.261 4 344.441 6