智能网联车和人驾车辆混合交通流排队长度估计模型

曹宁博,陈家辉,赵利英

Queue length estimation model for mixed traffic flow of intelligent connected vehicles and human-driven vehicles

Ningbo CAO,Jiahui CHEN,Liying ZHAO

表 8 不同渗透率下基于贝叶斯定理的高峰时段估计排队长度

Tab.8 Estimated queue lengths during peak hours based on Bayesian theorem under different penetration rates

$p $/% ${Q_{\text{a}}} $ ${Q_{\text{p}}} $ MAE MAPE/% $\widehat p $/% 10 10.03 6.55 3.48 34.66 10.12 20 10.03 7.11 2.92 29.11 21.36 30 10.03 12.45 2.42 24.08 28.64 50 10.03 9.39 0.64 6.42 50.95 80 10.03 9.80 0.23 2.33 79.59 90 10.03 9.92 0.11 1.05 90.51