基于加权残差聚类的建筑负荷预测区间估计

章超波,刘永政,李宏波,赵阳,张丽珠,王子豪

Weighted residual clustering-based building load prediction interval estimation

Chao-bo ZHANG,Yong-zheng LIU,Hong-bo LI,Yang ZHAO,Li-zhu ZHANG,Zi-hao WANG

表 5 不同名义置信水平下的预测区间估计性能（k = 3）

Tab.5 Performance of prediction interval estimation under different PINC (k = 3)

PINC/% PICP/% ACE/% 10 9.75 −0.25 20 19.55 −0.45 30 29.33 −0.67 40 38.36 −1.64 50 47.78 −2.22 60 57.11 −2.89 70 67.17 −2.83 80 76.99 −3.01 90 87.11 −2.89