基于时序分解与误差修正的新能源爬坡事件预测

童林,官铮,王立威,杨文韬,姚洋

New energy ramp event prediction based on time series decomposition and error correction

Lin TONG,Zheng GUAN,Li-wei WANG,Wen-tao YANG,Yang YAO

表 5 5种方法的光伏爬坡预测准确性

Tab.5 Accuracy of PV power ramp prediction of five methods

模型 TP TN FP FN ${F_{\rm{A}}}$ ${R_{\rm{C}}}$ ${C_{{\rm{SI}}} }$ LSTM 16 46 6 6 0.7273 0.7273 0.5714 PCA-LSTM 17 43 9 5 0.6538 0.7727 0.5484 PS-LSTM 17 45 7 5 0.7083 0.7727 0.5862 文献[15] 5 44 8 14 0.3846 0.2632 0.1852 PS-LSTM-EC 19 45 7 3 0.7308 0.8636 0.6552