基于时序分解与误差修正的新能源爬坡事件预测

童林,官铮,王立威,杨文韬,姚洋

New energy ramp event prediction based on time series decomposition and error correction

Lin TONG,Zheng GUAN,Li-wei WANG,Wen-tao YANG,Yang YAO

表 3 5种方法的风电爬坡预测准确性

Tab.3 Accuracy of wind power ramp prediction of five methods

模型 TP TN FP FN ${F_{\rm{A}}}$ ${R_{\rm{C}}}$ ${C_{{\rm{SI}}} }$ LSTM 6 134 0 9 1.0000 0.4000 0.4000 PCA-LSTM 8 134 0 7 1.0000 0.5333 0.5333 PS-LSTM 9 134 0 5 1.0000 0.6000 0.6000 文献[14] 3 127 7 9 0.3000 0.2500 0.1579 PS-LSTM-EC 10 134 0 5 1.0000 0.6667 0.6667